Playing the Fantasy Value Game: Best Players to Target in 2025

 In Articles, Fantasy Football

Updated August 28, 2025

My mantra in fantasy football, for nearly three decades, has been: Fantasy football is always all about value. My goal is to draft players that I think are very likely to outperform their draft position. These are my value targets!

 

Sleepers vs. Value Targets

In my mind, “sleepers” are players that we select later in the draft that probably won’t pan out, however they have extremely high upside if things go right, so we take our shots with them.

On the other hand, “value targets” are players that are going to cost us more because they have a much higher floor while still possessing some decent upside. Value targets are players that I think are very likely to over perform their average draft position (ADP). Sleepers are great. But value targets throughout your draft is where you’ll really make your money.

 

Playing the “Value” Game

I talked about this in my 2025 Perfect Draft Plan article a few days ago. There’s a little bit of a game that needs to be played when we’re drafting. There’s always moments in the draft where it makes sense to actually draft a lower ranked player because you think the higher ranked player will still be available later in the draft. This is an art, not an exact science.

Here’s an example I shared in that Perfect Draft Plan article. I was recently in a draft where I had the 6th pick. My 6th and 7th best players are Josh Jacobs and Jonathan Taylor, respectively.

I think Jacobs and Taylor are both worthy 1st round picks. However, Jacobs’ ADP is early to mid second round and Taylor’s ADP has been mid-to-late second round. I don’t need to draft them in the 1st.

On the other hand, Justin Jefferson is my 8th best player and his ADP is early to mid first round. I think Jacobs and Taylor could make it back to in me in round two, but there was no chance Jefferson was going to make it back to me in the second round (19th pick overall). So I rolled the dice and took Jefferson, hoping Jacobs or Taylor would make it back to me.

Jacobs went 18th overall in that draft, just one pick before I selected. But Taylor was still in the board, so I drafted him. This is the value game. Play the game, but don’t be too crazy. If you roll the dice without good reason, you could miss out on the player you really wanted.

 

Best 2025 Value Targets

Herein I’ll highlight my favorite value targets as we head into the 2025 draft season.

NOTE: “Grade” is the round that I think the player should be drafted in based on a 12-team league with typical standard scoring.

 

Quarterbacks

Player Team ADP Grade
Justin Herbert LAC 9th round 8th round w/big upside
Drake Maye NE 10th round 9th round w/big upside
C.J. Stroud HOU 12th round 9th round w/some upside
Trevor Lawrence JAX 12th round 10th round w/some upside

Running Backs

Player Team ADP Grade
Josh Jacobs GB Mid 2nd round 1st round
Jonathan Taylor IND Late 2nd round 1st round
Chase Brown CIN Early 3rd round Late 1st round
Alvin Kamara NO 4th round 3rd round
Kyren Williams LAR 3rd round Early 2nd round
Chubba Hubbard CAR 4th round 3rd round
Aaron Jones MIN 6th round Early 5th round
Tyrone Tracy NYG 8th round Late 6th round
J.K. Dobbins DEN 10th round 8th round
Tank Bigsby JAX 11th round 8th round w/big upside
Jaylen Wright MIA 14th round 9th round w/big upside

Tight Ends

Player Team ADP Grade
Mark Andrews BAL 7th round Late 5th round
Dalton Kincaid BUF 11th round 10th round w/some upside
Zach Ertz WAS 14th round 11th round w/some upside
Mike Gesicki CIN 16th round 12th round
Mason Taylor NYJ 18th round 12th round

Wide Receivers

Player Team ADP Grade
A.J. Brown PHL Late 2nd round Early 2nd round
Jaxson Smith-Njigba SEA Late 3rd round Early 3rd round w/big upside
Tyreek Hill MIA Late 3rd round 3rd round w/big upside
Davante Adams LAR 4th round 3rd round
Zay Flowers BAL 5th round 4th round
Devonte Smith PHL 5th round 4th round
Courtland Sutton DEN 5th round 4th round
Ricky Pearsall SF 7th round 5th round w/big upside
Jordan Addison MIN 7th round 6th round w/some upside
Emeka Egbuka TB 8th round 7th round w/big upside
Jakobi Meyers LV 8th round 7th round
Michael Pittman IND 10th round 8th round
Demario Douglas NE 16th round 10th round