May 28, 2024

Many times in my life I’ve said that fantasy football is all about value.

The fantasy football owner that gets the best values in his fantasy draft is the owner that’s most likely to compete for his league championship!

The goal for each fantasy football owner ought to be to draft value players—those are players that are very likely to out-play their average draft position (ADP).

The table below shows my top value targets as I head into drafts for the 2023 season.

Players are listed by their ADP. I’m using the ESPN, Fantasy Pros, FF Calculator, and Yahoo ADP lists to generate a consensus (of sorts).

NOTE: “Grade” is my grade on the player. Based on a 12-team league, this is the round that I think the player ought to be drafted in, based on my projection of the production that they are likely to produce.

UPDATED August 21, 2023




Player Tm ADP Grade
Tua Tagovailoa NYJ 9th round 8th round w/big upside
Aaron Rodgers Mia 10th round 8th round w/big upside
Kirk Cousins Min 10th round 9th round
Jared Goff Det 11th round 10th round

Running Backs

Player Tm ADP Grade
Nick Chubb Cle 2nd round 1st round
Derrick Henry Ten 2nd round 1st round
Josh Jacobs LV 2nd round 1st round
Rhamondre Stevenson NE 3rd round 2nd round
Joe Mixon Cin 4th round 2nd round
Kenneth Walker Sea Late 3rd thru Early 5th 3rd round w/big upside
Cam Akers LAR 5th thru 7th round Late 3rd/Early 4th
Isiah Pacheco KC 7th round 4th round
Brian Robinson Was 8th round 5th round w/big upside
Khalil Herbert Chi 8th or 9th round 4th round w/big upside
Jaylen Warren Pit 11th thru 13th round 8th round w/big upside
Jeff Wilson, Jr. Mia 8th thru 12th round 8th round w/some upside

Tight Ends

Player Tm ADP Grade
Chigoziem Okonkwo Ten 11th round 11th round w/big upside
Tyler Higbee LAR 12th round 12th round w/some upside
Dawson Knox Buf 15th round 14th round

Wide Receivers

Player Team/Bye ADP Grade
DeVonta Smith Phi 3rd round 3rd round w/big upside
Chris Olave NO 4th round 4th round w/big upside
Terry McLaurin Was 4th round 4th round w/some upside
Christian Kirk Jac 6th round 5th round w/some upside
Jerry Jeudy Den 6th round Late 5th/Early 6th
Brandon Aiyuk SF 6th round 6th round w/big upside
Tyler Lockett Sea 7th round Late 6th/Early 7th
Michael Pittman Ind 7th thru 9th round 7th round w/big upside
Courtland Sutton Den 8th or 9th round 8th round w/big upside